Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 11.108293 12.388145 13.769131 15.372189 17.184581 19.173238 21.524813
2025-06-15 9.255594 11.025186 13.078217 15.645450 18.782765 22.508380 27.292040
2025-06-22 7.686759 9.678306 12.135142 15.409989 19.692453 25.145436 32.683587
2025-06-29 6.450102 8.515539 11.201712 14.987076 20.241451 27.361563 37.884315
2025-07-06 5.572101 7.668335 10.524338 14.753291 20.946955 29.828453 43.787319
2025-07-13 5.082616 7.267468 10.375126 15.194600 22.619635 33.856848 52.598259
2025-07-20 4.684253 6.933671 10.260755 15.644052 24.335253 38.168083 62.569043
2025-07-27 4.292716 6.554030 10.018370 15.843379 25.658734 42.023115 72.438133
2025-08-03 3.878653 6.086355 9.575784 15.648151 26.282380 44.775651 80.835234
2025-08-10 3.513953 5.653715 9.133819 15.384933 26.730891 47.255483 89.128012
2025-08-17 3.199160 5.267553 8.721892 15.112800 27.108488 49.632326 97.608652
2025-08-24 2.945696 4.957532 8.403042 14.960148 27.671385 52.415124 107.385245
2025-08-31 2.727467 4.692613 8.144860 14.906036 28.452485 55.819153 119.330996
2025-09-07 2.602990 4.581774 8.150922 15.353513 30.292966 61.681626 138.002178
2025-09-14 2.414493 4.335419 7.881156 15.227569 30.939842 65.127315 151.809498
2025-09-21 2.217913 4.055084 7.518283 14.868823 31.039769 67.383047 163.204439
2025-09-28 2.061013 3.835327 7.249609 14.670285 31.457315 70.419778 177.250741
2025-10-05 1.989598 3.774795 7.288661 15.128581 33.422142 77.437091 203.567646
2025-10-12 1.922972 3.717087 7.326605 15.587590 35.455931 84.981415 233.252379
2025-10-19 1.837186 3.612335 7.256007 15.792951 36.908320 91.305653 260.995517
2025-10-26 1.723688 3.440136 7.025830 15.602282 37.348143 95.038023 281.759503
2025-11-02 1.614273 3.267335 6.778368 15.342100 37.573973 98.230995 301.650904
2025-11-09 1.513341 3.104464 6.538083 15.072034 37.737163 101.283321 321.916615